PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democrat 12-15% 12%-1.0ptFührend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
42.968,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
5. Aug. 26, 20:28 UTC3. Nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Polymarket2026 Oregon Governor election winner?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
The 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket bewertet Democrat 12-15% mit 12% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory entschieden?
- Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.