Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1st hottest 84.2%+6.5ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
1st hottest 84.2%+6.5ptMarktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2252,2 €
Liquidität
6363,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 14:06 UTC29. Nov. 26, 17:14 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
NFL: Will the Green Bay Packers finish 1st or 2nd in the NFC North AND win 10+ games in the 2026–27 regular season?
Manifold MarketsHow long will Sanae Takaichi be the prime minister of Japan? (She assumed office on October 21st, 2025.)
Manifold Markets[5k Subsidy] Which diseases will be eliminated first in the USA? 1st solved 100%, 2nd 95%, 3rd 90%, etc. until mid 2036
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before October 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2026 versus the data points available for all other Octobers on record.
- Note: If October 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for October 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
