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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

3.5% (24h)One-OffPolitikGeopolitik6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Petro - Colombia President
Petro - Colombia President 61%+3.5%
Führend unter 24 Optionen
Marktqualitat

100 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

9625 €

Liquidität

303.686,4 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

60.0% / 61.0%

Spread

1.7%

Enger Spread
7d-Änderung

+6.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

27. Apr. 26, 22:1431. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Petro - Colombia President61%

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

Polymarket
  • An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
  • Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution.
  • Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
  • Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
  • If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,654.11+2.24%EthereumETH$1,650.53+1.54%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.55%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.54%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%BNBBNB$595.19+1.49%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

Polymarket
  • An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
  • Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution.
  • Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
  • Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
  • If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.