Wartet auf verifizierte Auflösung: Yes
CoinRithm wartet auf eine vom Anbieter bestätigte Auflösung, bevor dieser Markt als aufgelöst behandelt wird.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 28.10.2026, 21:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 100%+18.9pt
Ja 100%+18.9ptMarktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
483 €
Liquidität
5326,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
2911,4 $
Geld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+19.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet16. Okt. 26, 16:48 UTC28. Okt. 26, 21:00 UTC
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes100%
No0%
Ja100%
Nein0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In exactly two years, will two shares of Applied Micro Devices (AMD) be worth more than one share of Microsoft (MSFT)?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?
Manifold MarketsWill any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
As of market creation, Microsoft is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for Microsoft's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.82 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.82 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If Microsoft releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.