PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic Party 92%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
76 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
649,7 €
Liquidität
37.302,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.5% / 7.6%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-5.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
16. Dez. 25, 17:274. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democratic Party92%
Plattformen vergleichen· Republican Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 8% | 0pt | 649,7 € | 37.302,2 € | vor 21 Minuten | |
 Kalshi60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 5% | -3pt | 25,5 € | 2425,1 € | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
MN-02 House winner?
8.0 pts1J
94.8%
-8.0pt5.2%
52 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen3829,9 €
24h-Volumen25,5 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$2.6k88.6%POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? — YesSitsToPeevor 6 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? — YesSitsToPeevor 6 TagenVolumentrend
$74011. Juli10T Daten29. Juli
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.