PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 99%+0.1pt
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
138,1 €
Liquidität
22.619,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.1% / 0.9%
Spread
0.8 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
22. Sept. 26, 21:02 UTC29. Sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?
PolymarketWill Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
PolymarketEric Swalwell arrested by September 30?
PolymarketMasoud Pezeshkian out as President of Iran by ?
FutuurWill the Iran Nuclear Deal be revived under Iran's new president Masoud Pezeshkian?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
- (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
- The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify.
- The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Offene Märkte
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff15.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 198,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.5pt91%
- Republican Party9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 32,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 852.868,9 €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-7.0pt63.7%
- Susan Collins+9.0pt36.3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 776.994,8 €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+0.9pt13%
+50 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-5.0pt60.6%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39.4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 572.177,2 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-5.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate+4.0pt31%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 25. September 2026).
- Wann wird Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28? entschieden?
- Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28? soll am 29. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.