PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 87%-0.5pt
Marktqualitat
42 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
239,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-3.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
12. Feb. 26, 22:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Republican party win the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2028 US Senate election in Utah?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 be chosen as the Republican Party's nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Offene Märkte
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+35 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 87% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? entschieden?
- Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.