PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92.1%+6.0pt
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,4 €
Liquidität
226,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 10.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-8.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
23. Juli 26, 02:47 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Kim Kardashian: Pass the Bar Exam before 2027?
KalshiWill George Russell outlast his next teammate (after Lewis Hamilton) at Mercedes?
Manifold MarketsWill Lewis Hamilton win a Driver's World Championship with Ferrari?
Manifold MarketsKim Kardashian announces passing the Bar Exam by 2027?
PolymarketOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiResident Evil · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton are confirmed to be engaged to be married to each other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Confirmation may come from official information from the listed individuals or their authorized representatives, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
- Unconfirmed speculation and rumors will not qualify.
- If it is confirmed that the named individuals have married, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the named individuals and their authorized representatives, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also qualify.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 11%. Die Kurse liegen rund 3 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 11% · 2 Plattformen · 3 Pkt. Venue-Spanne