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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Israel military action against Yemen by...?
Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

2.0% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikMiddle East18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30
June 30 26%+2.0%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

89 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

24.488,4 €

Liquidität

36.740,9 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

25.0% / 26.0%

Spread

4.0%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

+17.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

6. Jan. 26, 16:5630. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
March 31
March 31
0%
May 31
May 31
0%
April 30
April 30
0%
April 15
April 15
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 3026%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
  • Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
  • Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Verwandte Märkte

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

4,4 Mio. €
December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

1,3 Mio. €
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

870.223,5 €
June 30: 31%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

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Ja: 1.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

1856,2 €
3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

765,3 €
Before July: 8%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,710.12+2.15%EthereumETH$1,652.78+1.48%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.65%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.44%XRPXRP$1.11+0.28%BNBBNB$595.48+1.63%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
  • Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
  • Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.