PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Wartet auf verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm wartet auf eine vom Anbieter bestätigte Auflösung, bevor dieser Markt als aufgelöst behandelt wird.
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJuly 15 100%+78.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
22.651,8 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet7. Juli 26, 23:1531. Juli 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
August 31100%
July 15100%
July 12100%
July 31100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Große Trades
$1.2k81.5%Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? — Yesbalthazargestern
$1.8k83.3%Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? — YesLabubuBot9000gestern
Volumentrend
$25.8k8. Juli5T Daten12. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Iran full airspace closure by...?
239.836,2 €August 31: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
213.139 €December 31: 61%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?
158.537,4 €July 12: 76%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
76.283,6 €Before September: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4643,8 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US reimpose a blockade on Iran by the end of July 2026?
917,9 €Ja: 51.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
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Polymarket prices 99.65% No on Hormuz normal traffic by July 15Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds hit 8.5% for Hormuz traffic normalizing by July 31Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalization slide to 62.5% on Gulf flare-upBlockchain.News
Tankers turn back after attacks, Polymarket sees 57.5% Hormuz normal by Dec 31Blockchain.News
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST (UTC +3:30).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market.
- Attacks by proxy forces (i.e.
- Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.