PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJuly 12 70%+4.0%Führend unter 23 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
151.428,4 €
Liquidität
394.588,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
66.0% / 74.0%
Spread
12.1%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 22:2131. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
July 1270%
Volumentrend
$172.7k8. Juli6T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Iran full airspace closure by...?
258.623,5 €August 31: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
219.953,6 €December 31: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
167.060,7 €December 31: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
78.230,9 €Before September: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4644,1 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US reimpose a blockade on Iran by the end of July 2026?
1076,8 €Ja: 51.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran takes a qualifying military action against a Gulf State on the specified date Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- Qualifying Gulf States are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, that directly impacts a Gulf State.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones over 50 kg in total weight and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.