PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Very Strong Typhoon
Entschieden: 01.09.2026, 11:21
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 11:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Very Strong Typhoon 100%+0.4ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
211,1 €
Liquidität
86.349,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+1.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Tagen
Veraltet20. Aug. 26, 15:12 UTC1. Sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Very Strong Typhoon100%
Severe Tropical Storm0%
Violent Typhoon0%
Typhoon0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market resolves based on the maximum intensity that the named outcome Saudel (JMA designation T2618) reaches at any point on or before 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026, using the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) advisories (https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en).
- Resolution is by wind speed: take the highest 10-minute maximum sustained wind speed JMA reports for Saudel in any single advisory during its lifetime, and the market for the one category whose range contains that value resolves "Yes." The categories are defined solely by these inclusive knot ranges: the named outcome (34-47 kt), the named outcome (48-63 kt), Typhoon (64-84 kt), the named outcome (85-104 kt), and the named outcome (105 kt or higher).
- These names label the wind-speed ranges; JMA's own strength wording need not appear in an advisory for a category to resolve.
- The peak must occur on or before the deadline, though the confirming JMA data may be published later.
- Saudel is already a the named outcome, so its peak is at least "the named outcome".
- The wind speed in JMA's issued advisories is final and is not changed by any later reclassification or post-season best-track reanalysis.
