KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 61%-12.0pt
Ja 61%-12.0ptMarktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5897,5 €
Open Interest
4140 €
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
58.0% / 61.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
7. Okt. 26, 15:30 UTC31. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Hurricane Isaias category?
KalshiWhere will Isaias make landfall as a hurricane?
PolymarketHow strong will Isaias be?
PolymarketWill we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 8, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
Abwicklung über:AccuWeatherNBCAssociated PressNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationThe Wall Street Journalthe National Hurricane CenterThe Washington PostNational Weather ServiceCNN WeatherThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Weather ChannelReuters
- A track segment is the straight line connecting the storm positions in two consecutive official National Hurricane Center public or forecast advisories. A segment qualifies if any part of that line passes through the defined region, or either coordinate point lies within it. The region is the Alabama feature (STATEFP 01, STUSPS AL) in the US Census Bureau 2025 cartographic boundary state shapefile at 1:500,000 scale: https://www2.census.gov/geo/tiger/GENZ2025/shp/cb2025usstate500k.zip . This is a track-intersection test; a coastal landfall in Alabama is not required. The named storm is Isaias in the 2026 season; the cutoff is the stated calendar date, not the end of the usual hurricane season. Unofficial coordinates and post-storm analyses do not establish a qualifying track segment, and revisions after expiration are disregarded. Trading closes December 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST. The latest expiration is January 7, 2027 at 10:00 AM EST; expiration may move earlier after a qualifying occurrence in accordance with Rule 7.2. Settlement is no later than the day after expiration unless the outcome is under review pursuant to Rule 7.1. The HURPATH outcome-review and indeterminacy provisions remain applicable.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Yes
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
- No
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.