How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
40.5% (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl4Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit2 46%-40.5%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
7769,9 €
Liquidität
45.378 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
2.2%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
2. Juli 26, 21:243. Nov. 26, 23:59
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The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
- A Senate candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the relevant elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the relevant Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.