PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJuly 24 100%+82.5%Führend unter 39 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1438,5 €
Liquidität
491.374,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.3%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
23. Juli 26, 14:4131. Aug. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
July 2552%
Volumentrend
$1.6k23. Juli4T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,4 Mio. €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
744.106,2 €August 31: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
485.853,2 €Ja: 24%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
19.411,5 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 20%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
13.416,7 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4654,7 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
- Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
- Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.