Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
30-35% 23.5%+3.5ptFührend unter 6 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
30-35% 23.5%+3.5ptMarktqualitat
75 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
378,1 €
Liquidität
89.657,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-2.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 22:50 UTC8. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?
PolymarketWhich party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketWill Labour win the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRegeln
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party.
- Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.