PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit76-77°F 34%+7.5%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
17.182,9 €
Liquidität
49.896,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
33.0% / 35.0%
Spread
6.1%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 1:0814. Juli 26, 12:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
76-77°F34%
Plattformen vergleichen· 76-77°F
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 34% | — | 17.182,9 € | 49.896,7 € | vor 9 Minuten | |
 Kalshi86% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 27% | — | 9859,1 € | 6882,6 € | vor 29 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 14, 2026?
1T
27%
25%
16%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
61 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen10.514,2 €
24h-Volumen9859,1 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$19.6k13. Juli2T Daten14. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 13, 2026?
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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 13, 2026?
102.463,2 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
99.978,9 €29°C: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 13, 2026?
99.798,9 €91° to 92°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
97.194 €32°C: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 13, 2026?
75.943,7 €75° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Regeln
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.