Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
74° to 75° 16%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
8211,1 €
Liquidität
5704,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.7%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 14:0015. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
74° to 75°16%
Plattformen vergleichen· 76° to 77°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt86% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 35% | — | 16.449,6 € | 47.635,1 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Hoch | 26% | — | 8211,1 € | 5704,3 € | vor 10 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 14?
0.9%8Std
+5.0%35%
-1.0%28%
+11.5%23%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen17.827,4 €
24h-Volumen16.449,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$9.4k13. Juli2T Daten14. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 13, 2026?
76.493,5 €75° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 13, 2026?
469.142,7 €77° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 13, 2026?
158.050,8 €82° to 83°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 13, 2026?
102.466 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
90.168,9 €32°C: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
86.126,2 €29°C: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.