Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
75° or below 37%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
8088,2 €
Liquidität
6988,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
36.0% / 45.0%
Spread
25.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
12. Juli 26, 14:0014. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
75° or below37%
Plattformen vergleichen· 75° or below
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt86% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 42% | — | 56.620,7 € | 48.706,3 € | vor 4 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 37% | — | 8088,2 € | 6988,2 € | vor 16 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 13?
11Std
42%
27%
21%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
77 • Hohe QualitätSpread unbekanntHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen56.620,7 €
24h-Volumen56.620,7 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$9.2k12. Juli2T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?
77.617,1 €74° to 75°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 12, 2026?
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Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 12, 2026?
91.958,7 €84° to 85°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 12, 2026?
155.984,4 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on July 12, 2026?
120.109,7 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
111.817 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.