Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
74° to 75° 1%-19.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
77.617,1 €
Liquidität
65.730,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
11. Juli 26, 14:0013. Juli 26, 8:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
74° to 75°1%
Volumentrend
$88.5k11. Juli3T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 13, 2026?
8088,2 €75° or below: 37%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 12, 2026?
595.356,1 €80° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 12, 2026?
91.958,7 €84° to 85°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 12, 2026?
155.984,4 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on July 12, 2026?
120.109,7 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
111.817 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 12, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.