Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
95° or above 10%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
10.795 €
Liquidität
8458,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
12. Juli 26, 14:0014. Juli 26, 5:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
95° or above10%
Plattformen vergleichen· 93° to 94°
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 44% | — | 6886,4 € | 53.736,4 € | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese SeiteAktivste | Mittel | 37% | — | 10.795 € | 8458,7 € | vor 6 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 13?
21.5%10Std
+10.5%44%
-7.0%29%
-21.5%15%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen7081,8 €
24h-Volumen6886,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 13, 2026, is less than 87° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 13, 2026, is between 87-88° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$12.3k12. Juli2T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 12, 2026?
49.586,3 €82° to 83°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 12, 2026?
601.475,1 €80° or above: 1%KALSHI
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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?
78.470,5 €74° to 75°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 12, 2026?
156.017 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on July 12, 2026?
120.134,8 €Ja: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
111.840,4 €Ja: 3%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 13, 2026, is less than 87° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 13, 2026, is between 87-88° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.