PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Gus Bilirakis (R) 90.7%Margenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
25.342 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
87.0% / 88.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-5.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
28. Jan. 26, 21:34 UTC3. Nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — FL-12 House winner? · Gus Bilirakis 90%
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 24h-Volumen
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 643.306,1 €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+37.0pt52.1%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.6pt46.9%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt93%
- Yes-1.2pt7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 483.494,2 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für FL-12 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket bewertet Gus Bilirakis (R) mit 91% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird FL-12 House Election Winner entschieden?
- FL-12 House Election Winner soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird FL-12 House Election Winner abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Wo wird FL-12 House Election Winner außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.