PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitPause–Pause–Pause 81%+7.9%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
8335,8 €
Liquidität
62.964,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
80.4% / 80.9%
Spread
0.6%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-14.7%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
24. März 26, 23:4729. Juli 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Pause–Pause–Pause81%
Große Trades
$1.7k23.7%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — NoDetailed-Poisonvor 3 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — NoDetailed-Poisonvor 3 Tagen$1.0k93.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — Yesyoyobb2018vor 11 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — Yesyoyobb2018vor 11 Tagen$3.3k90.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesAhpovor 12 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesAhpovor 12 Tagen$2.5k90.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesLALiquidatedvor 12 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesLALiquidatedvor 12 TagenVolumentrend
$9.5k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
371.647,9 €Fed maintains rate: 80%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
48.824,3 €Ja: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
49.020,4 €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
31.152,3 €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
28.399,6 €Volatility: 18%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22.763,3 €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegeln
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.