PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit120-139 39%+13.6%Führend unter 26 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
400.010,8 €
Liquidität
928.446,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
100.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
30. Juni 26, 4:0410. Juli 26, 16:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
120-13939%
Große Trades
$1.2k98.8%Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? — NoAg500kvor 6 Std.
$2.0k98.8%Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? — Noloser-starvor 3 Tagen
Volumentrend
$456.8k2. Juli6T Daten7. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Elon Musk # tweets July 6 - July 8, 2026?
188.217,8 €40-64: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?
153.862,4 €160-179: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?
120.346,2 €Anthropic: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final
39.470,5 €Tesla: 6%
KALSHI
KALSHI
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
23.758,9 €Before July 17th: 14%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.