KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Las Vegas, NV 87%Führend unter 21 Optionen
Las Vegas, NV 87%Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1639,4 €
Liquidität
194.085,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
13. Mai 26, 23:00 UTC31. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
PolymarketWill it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 27, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within the named outcome before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Waymo
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within the named outcome, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within the named outcome may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of the named outcome Waymo expands from adjacent areas into the named outcome limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within the named outcome Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in the named outcome Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public