PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 57%
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
60,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
26.0% / 89.0%
Spread
63.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
1
7d-Änderung
+9.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
13. Aug. 26, 18:16 UTC2. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiWhich states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026.
- A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
- A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak.
- A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred.
Offene Märkte
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.387,4 €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 652.807,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3547,3 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2906,5 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 865.320,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2719,4 €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 915.253 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1382,5 €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 84.047,3 €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1??
- Polymarket bewertet Yes mit 57% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? entschieden?
- Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? soll am 2. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation.