Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
Chainlink
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No
Entschieden: 06.01.2024, 00:31
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
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Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 147 Tagen
Veraltet10. Okt. 23, 20:1731. Dez. 23, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.
- This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
