PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit2.4% 41%+4.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
439,5 €
Liquidität
14.089,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
15.0% / 35.0%
Spread
133.3%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-3.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 17:4512. Aug. 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
2.4%41%
Plattformen vergleichen· 2.4%
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt84% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 98% | — | 438,4 € | 26.499,3 € | vor 15 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| PolymarketDiese SeiteAktivste | Mittel | 41% | — | 439,5 € | 14.089,4 € | vor 15 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
1.0%17T
+1.0%98%
86%
80%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
91 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen60.524,4 €
24h-Volumen438,4 €
KALSHIRegeln
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$50015. Juli12T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Fed rate hike in 2026?
51.202,8 €Ja: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
8921,1 €Above 3.4%: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike by which date?
7534,2 €October Meeting: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
July Inflation US - Annual
4487,4 €3.3%: 37%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How much will core PCE increase in Jun 2026?
3141,1 €Above 0.2%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
US gasoline CPI for July
2869,7 €Above 335ㅤ: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.