PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDemocratic Party 94%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
29.936 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
28. Jan. 26, 16:093. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democratic Party94%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democratic Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 94% | — | 0 € | 29.936 € | vor 18 Minuten | |
 Kalshi60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 94% | — | 0 € | 2556,7 € | vor 18 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
CA-41 House winner?
1J
96.9%
3.1%
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen7560,4 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$5504. Juli18T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
1,1 Mio. €Kamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
1 Mio. €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
451.305,2 €Gavin Newsom: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
401.551,5 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
365.427,3 €Kamala Harris: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
167.637,6 €Jay Collins: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.