Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
CDU 56%+11.5ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
79 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
11.391,6 €
Liquidität
136.087,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+17.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 01:12 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRussia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?
Manifold MarketsBosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
KalshiRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt20%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 922.427,5 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 191,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 684.259,5 €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+4.0pt56.4%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt43.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 625.176,9 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88%
- Republican Party-1.0pt12%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 616.267,1 €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Governor winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket bewertet CDU mit 56% (Stand: 18. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin State Election: 2nd Place entschieden?
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place soll am 20. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin State Election: 2nd Place abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Wo wird Berlin State Election: 2nd Place außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.