PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRepublican Party 95.9%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
31.881,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
93.0% / 94.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
28. Jan. 26, 6:093. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Republican Party94%
Plattformen vergleichen· Republican Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 94% | — | 0 € | 31.881,8 € | vor 10 Minuten | |
 Kalshi60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 91% | — | 0 € | 2349,9 € | vor 10 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
AZ-09 House winner?
1J
93.8%
6.2%
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen2812,2 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$362. Juli14T Daten22. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
999.459,8 €Kamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
891.810,4 €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
529.684,2 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
400.109,8 €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
183.323,9 €Jay Collins: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
132.925,2 €Haley Stevens: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.