Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.7%
Prognostiker
42
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet20. Mai 23, 21:07 UTC1. Jan. 41, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves NO if, at any point during his life, Xi is no longer considered the most powerful leader in China.
- Resolves YES if he dies at the top.
- I will extend this market indefinitely as necessary.
- This may be biased toward NO, since he's only 69 and YES holders might have to wait decades to get their payout.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
