Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83%
Prognostiker
18
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert16. Sept. 23, 20:03 UTC1. Jan. 34, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US stock market increase ≥3x by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsAI: >1% of US Stock Market (2030)
Manifold MarketsWill European investors face restrictions on their US stock holdings due to political risks before 2029?
Manifold MarketsAI: >1% of US Stock Market (2050)
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
KalshiRegeln
For the purpose of this market, a lost decade is defined as a 10-year period where the S&P500 ends at the same level it started.
- Intraday extrema will be used to resolve this question, not closing or opening prices.
- Note: The start date of that decade can predate market creation.
- For example, if the SPX dropped below 1,729.44 on Monday, September 18th, 2023 (2 days after market creation), then the question would resolve to YES, since the high-point on September 18th, 2013, was 1,729.44.