Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 74%
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet29. Feb. 24, 13:53 UTC1. März 36, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached.
- This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2036.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6
Offene Märkte
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 20.274 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7973 €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 84.059,6 €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 652.610,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3393 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 865.434,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2965,1 €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 915.243,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1248,8 €
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- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will we get a cure for cancer before 2036??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 74% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will we get a cure for cancer before 2036? entschieden?
- Will we get a cure for cancer before 2036? soll am 1. März 2036 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will we get a cure for cancer before 2036? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.