Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 73%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet12. Apr. 26, 16:45 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Victor Orban run for president position by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Emil O. W. Kierkegaard be allowed back into the US by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one Thiel Fellow be deported out of the US by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one @_TheResidency fellow be deported out of the US by EOY2028?
Manifold Markets[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?
Manifold MarketsNetherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Viktor Orbán establishes legal residence in the United States or is granted asylum/protected status by the U.S. government at any point between the market's creation and December 31, 2028.
- It resolves to NO if he does not.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the U.S. government, credible international news reporting, or documented legal proceedings confirming his arrival or residency status.
- Viktor Orbán has served as the Prime Minister of Hungary since 2010.
- His political stance is often characterized by conservative nationalist policies and has frequently drawn criticism from European Union institutions and international organizations.
