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Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet11. Mai 26, 19:04 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketWill the 2028 Democratic presidential candidate win any state trump won by 10% or more in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump add a 51st state to the US?
KalshiWill a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Outcome verified from https://www.congress.gov
- [link preview]
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term? entschieden?
- Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Outcome verified from https://www.congress.gov