🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️
PolitikOne-OffUS Politics3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet22. Juni 26, 23:02 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, a federal statute is enacted that meaningfully limits or overrides states’ ability to regulate AI systems.
- NO otherwise.
- Definition of “substantially preempts”
- Counts as YES if the law does at least one of the following:
- Bans or freezes state AI regulation for any meaningful period (e.g., moratorium)
- Establishes federal AI rules that explicitly override conflicting state laws
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️ entschieden?
- 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️ soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️ abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, a federal statute is enacted that meaningfully limits or overrides states’ ability to regulate AI systems.