Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 21:52 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 57.6%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 46 Minuten
Verzogert19. Feb. 26, 22:45 UTC31. März 31, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $105/lb by Mar 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $110/lb by Mar 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $100/lb by Mar 2028?
Manifold MarketsIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if the uranium spot price averaged over the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds $115 per pound U3O8 by 2031-03-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate average uranium spot price during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2031-03-31 settlement: measure average price from 2030-10-02 to 2031-12-31
- Use daily spot price data from authoritative uranium market sources
- "Spot price" means uranium oxide (U3O8) spot price, not long-term contract prices
