Will Trump threaten to restrict British access to Trident ballistic missiles before 2029?
US-PolitikOne-Off2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 17:55 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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The UK's nuclear deterrent relies heavily on US-supplied Trident ballistic missiles through the 1958 Mutual Defence Agreement (MDA).
- Unlike conventional weapons, the UK does not own these missiles outright but instead has title to a portion of a shared pool with the US Navy.
- This cooperation has been a cornerstone of US-UK defense relations for over 60 years.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump makes statements before 2029 that I, a reasonable centre-left British observer who will not bet, understand to contain an explicit or implicit threat to restrict British access to Trident missiles.
- Some examples of implicit threats:
