Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.8%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
24. Okt. 25, 21:51 UTC19. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsNate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiWhite House # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Trump tears down 90% or more of the original building as it stood at the end of Joseph Biden's term.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- If Trump rebuilds a lookalike with modern wiring and plumbing this still resolves YES.