Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97.5%
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
17. Aug. 26, 20:32 UTC16. Sept. 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US bomb Oman by the end of September?
Manifold MarketsIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Oman by which date?
PolymarketWill the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States military conducts a deliberate kinetic military strike (including aerial bombardment, artillery, missile strikes, or drone strikes) targeting territory, territorial waters, or military assets of Oman.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolution Guidelines:
- Confirmation Source: The strike must be officially acknowledged by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or the Omani government, or confirmed by a consensus of major international news agencies, such as Reuters or the Associated Press.
- Intentionality: The action must be a deliberate military strike.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump bomb Oman??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump bomb Oman? entschieden?
- Will Trump bomb Oman? soll am 16. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump bomb Oman? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria