Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026?
US-PolitikOne-OffKriminalität & Justiz1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 93.3%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
12. Juni 23, 13:50 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the International Criminal Court be dissolved during 2026?
Manifold MarketsFrom which continent will the new Chief Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court be selected from?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be sentenced to time in prison/jail, house arrest, both, or neither?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin stand trial in the International Criminal Court?
Manifold MarketsZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?
PolymarketRegeln
I included home confinement in part because of the practical problems of sentencing someone statutorily entitled to Secret Service protection to prison.
- Any sentence based on conviction in a criminal case counts.
- Pretrial confinement does not count (although this would be extremely unlikely anyway).
