Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 81%
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 51 Minuten
Verzogert30. Juli 23, 20:39 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the winner of the 2024 US election remain president until 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping remain the President of China by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Claudia Sheinbaum remain president of Mexico through EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026?
FutuurPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegeln
The election does not have to meet any standards of free/fair, but the result has to stick (judged by me).