Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 72.7%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet20. Jan. 26, 00:35 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Thomas Massie leave Congress before his term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie say Trump should be impeached before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Thomas Massie win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegeln
Will Resolve as Yes if Thomas Massie leaves the republican caucus in the house of representatives or otherwise leaves the Republican Party (if he declares it publicly)
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 693.010,4 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.941,4 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 73% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026? entschieden?
- Will Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will Resolve as Yes if Thomas Massie leaves the republican caucus in the house of representatives or otherwise leaves the Republican Party (if he declares it publicly)