Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030
One-OffHealth & Medicine3J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 68%
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12
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet14. Dez. 24, 16:28 UTC31. Dez. 29, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
KalshiWill there be a year without polio before 2030?
KalshiWill there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRegeln
Based on official confirmation (CDC, hospital where the case occurred).
- UPDATE 2026-07-12: Only new polio cases acquired after market creation count.
- If that was not clear previously, let me know and I will reimburse your trading losses based on the vague description.
Offene Märkte
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 20.274 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7973 €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 84.059,6 €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 652.610,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3393 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 865.434,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2965,1 €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 915.243,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1248,8 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 68% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030 entschieden?
- Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030 soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Based on official confirmation (CDC, hospital where the case occurred).