Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 65.1%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet2. Okt. 22, 08:26 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
KalshiWill Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland hold a referendum on leaving the UK before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2100?
Manifold MarketsNorthern Ireland Assembly election winner?
KalshiRegeln
This question resolves to yes once a polling date is announced and that poll is seen as legitimate by the Irish Times and the Times of London newspapers.
