Will there be 10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035 depending on a Trump win?
PolitikOne-OffNaher OstenRussland / UkraineChinaWahlUS-Politik8J
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Trump wins and 10+ nuclear-armed states 62.1%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Trump wins and 10+ nuclear-armed states 62.1%Prognostiker
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Inspired this post about joint markets, here is a variant of this conditional Metaculus question.
- Resolves according to Metaculus.
- See the fine-print there.
- Trumps chances: @/duck/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres
- Currently, nine states possess nuclear weapons: Russia, US, China, France, UK, Pakistan, India, Israel, and North Korea.
- The most recent entrant into that nuclear club was North Korea, in 2006.
