Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.8%
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11
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet27. Jan. 26, 13:13 UTC31. Dez. 41, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the world population decrease before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
KalshiCanada's population Up or Down this year?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
I think Yud is right on AI being dangerous and difficult to control.
- Edit: humans living outside of Earth do not count.
Offene Märkte
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.855,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 25.306,6 €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6760,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5772,3 €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6133 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5231,4 €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 18.129,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15.357,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 136.182,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 247 €
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the world population be lower than today at the end of 2041??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 87% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the world population be lower than today at the end of 2041? entschieden?
- Will the world population be lower than today at the end of 2041? soll am 31. Dezember 2041 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the world population be lower than today at the end of 2041? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I think Yud is right on AI being dangerous and difficult to control.