Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.8%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet27. Jan. 26, 13:13 UTC31. Dez. 41, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the world population decrease before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the world population shrink year-over-year for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWill a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030?
Manifold MarketsParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiRegeln
I think Yud is right on AI being dangerous and difficult to control.
- Edit: humans living outside of Earth do not count.