Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsRegulierung1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 67.2%
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Veraltet9. Feb. 26, 22:48 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the White House makes an official public announcement stating that ICE deportations have exceeded 1 million by December 31, 2027.
- The announcement must come from official White House communications (press releases, statements from the President, DHS Secretary, or other authorized administration officials) and be verifiable through official government sources such as whitehouse.gov or dhs.gov.
- For resolution purposes, "deportations" refers to formal removals as reported by the Department of Homeland Security's Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), consistent with how the administration has publicly reported these figures.
- The market resolves NO if no such announcement is made by EOY 2027, or if official figures show cumulative deportations remain at or below 1 million.
- The Department of Homeland Security's FY 2026 budget justification requests funding increases "to support the Administration's strategy of 1,000,000 removals per year." As of January 2026, the Trump administration reported nearly 3 million illegal aliens have left the U.S., including an estimated 2.2 million self-deportations and more than 675,000 deportations.