Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 79.5%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet3. Jan. 26, 08:06 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US refinery utilization in November
KalshiVenezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by which date?
PolymarketWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, the United States of America militarily seizes the Cardón Refinery in Punta Cardón, Venezuela.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
- This market is set to close at 04:00:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.
- Clarifications
- I will not trade in this market.